Low Oil Prices Could Pressure OPEC into Action

Speculators got more bullish on oil for the first time in three weeks, judging that a slump in prices to a four-year low will force OPEC to act.

The net-long position in West Texas Intermediate rose 8.7 percent in the week ended Nov. 11, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. Long holdings rebounded from the lowest level in 17 months while short bets contracted.

WTI tumbled 30 percent since June as U.S. output climbed to three-decade high, adding to a global supply glut at a time when the International Energy Agency says demand growth is slowing. Ministers from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries accelerated diplomatic visits last week, potentially seeking a consensus before the group’s Nov. 27 meeting in Vienna.

About Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst, Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, he established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto. Follow on Twitterand on his Google+ profile.

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