Top trade idea for April 25th, 2016 – AUD/USD

Top trade idea for April 25th, 2016 – AUD/USD

By Vladislav Antonov on Apr 25, 2016 12:29:59 GMT

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Trading opportunities for currency pair: a pinbar with an upper shade of 130 points has formed on the weekly. It’s a shame that the body is bullish. It’s highly likely that there will be a bounce. Look to sell from 0.7760 with a 0.7535 target. If the trend line is broken, set a target at around 0.7430. Don’t sell the Aussie if oil prices rise. A fall in the rate will be nullified by a close of the weekly candle above 0.7834.

Background

A pinbar with a 0.7834 maximum and a close price of 0.7704 has formed last week. The Aussie has updated its maximum due to the rise in oil prices. On Thursday after Draghi spoke the rise in the dollar saw the Aussie lose out.

Current Situation

Although the week’s candle closed with a bullish body, an upper shade at 130 points is enough for us to sell the Aussie with a 0.7384 target. Firstly though, we need it to close below 0.7630. We don’t need to sell the AUD straight away since we often see a reverse movement before the price falls, allowing buyers to exit long positions at a decent price. Sales on the rebound can be considered from 0.7760. Don’t sell the Aussie if oil prices rise.

On 27th April the US Fed will let us know its interest rate decision. No one expects them to up the rates. Therefore, if the Aussie in the first two days of the week does not strengthen against the dollar, it’s unlikely that it will return to 0.7834. At the moment we can consider the Australian currency falling to 0.7535. If the trend line is broken, we can set the target at around 0.7430.

About Vladislav Antonov

Vladislav Antonov  is  an Alpari analyst since 2007.

In the top 5 most influential Russian financial analysts throughout 2012-2014. 3rd place in a Russian media rating of financial analysts for quarter 1 of 2015.

Vladislav is one the most media quoted financial analysts in Russia and the CIS and is known in the trader forums under the name of A-Vlad. He has been working on the Forex market since 2000 and he specializes in writing reviews on the Asian, American and European sessions as well as on the rate of gold and silver.

Recent posts by Vladislav Antonov

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